Economy contracts during first half of 2013

Bridgetown.

The Barbados economy contracted during the first six months of the year with the main foreign exchange sectors also suffering a decline, according to figures released by the Central Bank of Barbados (CBB).

The CBB said that the local economy grew by just 0.6 per cent and among the priorities for the future will be to reduce spending “in the economy so as to balance the inflows and outflows of foreign exchange “and also “to revive economic growth led by tourism, international business, agro processing and alternative energy”.

The CBB said that the first half of 2013 saw a contraction in the main foreign exchange earners, namely tourism and international business and financial services.

“At the same time, private foreign capital inflows were less than a quarter of the figure recorded in the same period last year, the CBB said, adding “foreign exchange  levels were relatively unchanged for most of the first three months, but weakened considerably during the second quarter”.

The CBB said as a result, the foreign reserve cover fell from 19 weeks of imports as at March to 16 weeks at the end of June.

“Overall economic growth is estimated to have contracted by 0.6 per cent in the first half, inflation rate is estimated at 2.7 per cent to June and the rate of unemployment was 11.5 per cent at end-March,” the CBB added.

It said that long stay visitors decreased by seven per cent for the first six months of the year with earnings also declining by three per cent.

The Central Bank said the island recorded declines in all markets including the United kingdom, Canada, the United States and the Caribbean.

“The average length of stay was higher by about four per cent but airline seating capacity and hotel room occupancy rates were below last year’s levels,” the CBB said, adding that within the financial services, the island also recorded declines.

It said the number of new licences issued to international businesses and financial services (IFBS) increased by eight per cent up to May, but renewable fell by 14 per cent.

“Measures to stimulate this sector included amendments to the tax structure and intensified marketing in Canada and Latin America.”

The CBB said that rum exports also declined by 37 per cent and exports of sugar were down significantly in the first four months, the CBB said, adding that similar declines were recorded for exports of chemicals and other beverages.

Activity within the construction sector declined by nine per cent and the government’s deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio for the April to June period “widened to an estimated 9.4 per cent, up from 6.2 per cent during the first quarter of fiscal year 2012/13”.

The CBB said that tax receipts fell BDS$36 million (One Barbados dollar=US$0.50 cents) or six per cent due to declines in value added tax (VAT) and personal income tax BDS$20 million in each case,

On the other hand, expenditure rose by BDS$18 million or three per cent, interest payments rising by BDS$12 million and transferred to state-owned enterprises rising by seven million dollars.

The CBB said the government’s deficit of BDS$198 million was financed by commercial banks, non financial institutions, the National Insurance Scheme and the CBB itself.

It said that external indebtedness fell by BDS$22 million.

“The overall public debt, net of public sector financial assets, increased by BDS148 million to the equivalent of 58 per cent of GDP,” the CBB added.

The CBB said that going forward, economic growth of three per cent by 2017 is achievable, noting  last month the government held a national consultation with special partners with aview to addressing the priorities for the economy.

“Based on investment projects that have been identified by private sector enterprises and infrastructural and other projects which the government plans  over the next five years, growth rates rising from about one per cent in 2014 to over three per cent in 2017 are achievable,” the CBB said.